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Aston Villa · 2024/25

Leon Bailey

npxG per 90
0.22
1 non-penalty goals
xA per 90
0.19
2 assists · 16 key passes
Finishing
-1.6
vs league conversion rate
Build-up per 90
0.18
1152 minutes · 24 games

Leon Bailey ranks 100th of 397 qualified players for attacking involvement, shooting from 18.4m on average. They carry 5% of Aston Villa’s attacking output, the 8th largest share in the squad.

This week

Next fixture

Gameweek 2

vs Arsenal

Mon 31 Aug, 19:00 UTC

Arsenal concede 9.6 shots a match and are 0.77× the league norm against midfielders. A difficult one.

Projected shots
1.65

2.19 per 90 × 0.75

Projected on target
0.33

0.47 per 90 × 0.71

Season rate multiplied by what this opponent concedes relative to the league. It assumes a full ninety minutes and takes no account of rotation, so check availability before reading anything into it.

Shots

24 appearances
  • Over 0.567%± 10
  • Over 1.525%± 9
  • Over 2.58%± 6
  • Over 3.54%± 4

Share of appearances clearing each line, with one standard error. Blank appearances count as misses, 8 of 24 here, so these are lower, and more honest, than rates built only from matches where the player got a shot away.

Shots on target

24 appearances
  • Over 0.521%± 8
  • Over 1.54%± 4
  • Over 2.50%± 0

Share of appearances clearing each line, with one standard error. Blank appearances count as misses, 8 of 24 here, so these are lower, and more honest, than rates built only from matches where the player got a shot away.

Where the shots come from

Where they shoot

28 shots
Opponent goalLeftRight
GoalNo goalMark area is the chance’s expected goals

Leon Bailey, 2024/25 · 28 shots in the final 35m, 1 scored. Shape carries the outcome rather than colour, so it reads in print and to anyone who cannot separate the hues.

left
0%
Centre
41%
right
59%

share of their shooting xG

Chance quality

xG per shot, distance, how they arrive
xG per shot
0.102
Shots per 90
2.19
Key passes per 90
1.25
Average shot distance
18.4m
From set pieces
4%

How their chances arrive

Crosses
4%
Through balls
1%
Own dribble
29%
Headed
3%

What they are for

Roles

penalties, set pieces, crossing, partnerships
  • On the pitch34% of the minutes available to them.

Partnerships

  • Feeds Ollie Watkins4 shots, 1.05 xG
  • Feeds Ross Barkley1 shot, 0.62 xG
  • Fed by Ian Maatsen2 shots, 0.74 xG
  • Fed by Matthew Cash2 shots, 0.51 xG

A share of the attack says how much runs through Leon Bailey. These say what would have to be replaced. Losing the penalty taker or the corner deliverer is not the same as losing a proportional slice of output, and a partnership cuts both ways: the supplier being absent damages the finisher’s numbers too.

Who they play with

Chances received

who supplies them
  1. Ian Maatsen0.7 xG2 shots · 1g
  2. Matthew Cash0.5 xG2 shots · 0g
  3. Morgan Rogers0.4 xG4 shots · 0g
  4. Ollie Watkins0.2 xG3 shots · 0g
  5. Jacob Ramsey0.1 xG1 shot · 0g

Chances created

who they supply
  1. Ollie Watkins1.0 xG4 shots · 1g
  2. Ross Barkley0.6 xG1 shot · 1g
  3. Youri Tielemans0.2 xG4 shots · 0g
  4. Morgan Rogers0.2 xG3 shots · 0g
  5. Ian Maatsen0.1 xG1 shot · 0g

Season record

Involvement in build-up

excludes their own shots and final passes

Leon Bailey carries 1.8% of Aston Villa’s build-up value.

  • Build-up per 900.178
    18% of midfielders
  • Possession value per 900.492
    64% of midfielders

Ranked against 137 midfielders with a comparable sample. Build-up is the value of possessions a player was involved in with their own shots and final passes removed, so it credits the work before the chance. It is a possession-value measure rather than a passing one: it cannot tell a forty-yard carry from two sideways balls, because no pass or carry record exists in this data.

Match log

most recent first
  • at Brentford
    2 shots0 OT
  • at Crystal Palace
    1 shot0 OT
  • vs Chelsea
    1 shot1 OT
  • at Wolverhampton Wanderers
    2 shots0 OT
  • vs West Ham
    2 shots1 OT
  • vs Leicester1g
    2 shots2 OT
  • vs Brighton
    7 shots0 OT
  • vs Brentford
    1 shot1 OT
  • vs Crystal Palace
    1 shot0 OT
  • at Liverpool
    1 shot0 OT

Solid marks are on target, faded ones off. 8 further appearances produced no shot and are not listed, but are counted in the rates above.