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Premier League · 2024/25

Over 38 matches, Arsenal create most danger down their right (1.01× the league norm), and concede most through the middle (1.16×).

Attack · 4th
1.19
1.99 xG per match
69 scored, 4.6 below xG
Defence · 1st
0.63
1.06 xGA per match
34 conceded, 6.0 below xGA
Chance quality
0.138
xG per shot · 14.4 shots/match
Set pieces
32%
of their xG · 31% conceded

Where the shots come from

Shots faced

every shot, or counted by zone
Their goalLeftRight
GoalNo goalMark area is the chance’s expected goals

Arsenal, 2024/25 · 360 shots in the final 35m, 34 scored. Shape carries the outcome rather than colour, so it reads in print and to anyone who cannot separate the hues.

Left0.82×20%
Centre1.16×61%
Right0.81×18%

vs league average · 1.00 marked · share of xG

Flanks and routes

Danger conceded by flank

left against right · open play only

No meaningful side bias. Arsenal concede about evenly on both flanks, so neither is worth targeting over the other.

Left
6.8 xG102 shots · 0.066
Right
5.6 xG87 shots · 0.065

Set pieces are excluded, since a corner has no flank. Sides within ten points of an even split are treated as level, since a season is short enough that smaller gaps are usually noise.

Crosses or through balls

open play only

Arsenal take 17% of their open-play danger from crosses and 12% from balls played through the middle.

Open passes
53%
Crosses
17%
Rebounds
13%
Through balls
12%
Dribbles
5%
Headed share of xG14%

Measured from the action immediately before each shot. This shows whether a side works the ball wide or through the middle; which flank they progress down cannot be derived, because no free source publishes pass locations.

Who does the work

Territory and pressing

1.00 = league average

Arsenal move the ball about as the league does.

  • Territory won1.33×

    9.6 deep completions a match

  • Territory allowed0.57×

    4.1 conceded a match

  • Pressing1.33×

    9.4 opponent passes per defensive action

  • Freedom to build1.22×

    15.3 of their own passes allowed

  • Danger per arrival0.94×

    0.197 npxG per deep completion

A deep completion is a pass finished within about twenty yards of goal, and PPDA counts an opponent’s passes per defensive action. A lower figure is a harder press, so the bar inverts it to keep every row reading the same way. This describes where the ball ends up rather than how it travelled: no pass or carry record exists in this data, so progressive passes and carries are genuinely out of reach rather than merely absent.

Share of attacking output

non-penalty xG plus expected assists

Arsenal’s attack is effectively 11.1 players. A side spread across fourteen absorbs an absence that one built on nine does not.

3.0% of their attack is doubtful or out. William Saliba.

Share of the squad’s non-penalty xG plus expected assists, so it counts chances taken and chances given alike. Penalties are left out because they describe who the club nominates rather than who creates. Contributors under 2% are not listed, though they still count towards the spread above.

Creator to finisher

shots and xG per pairing
  1. Bukayo SakaGabriel2.7 xG8 shots · 3g
  2. Bukayo SakaKai Havertz2.6 xG10 shots · 3g
  3. Leandro TrossardKai Havertz2.4 xG8 shots · 3g
  4. Gabriel MartinelliBukayo Saka1.8 xG4 shots · 1g
  5. Bukayo SakaLeandro Trossard1.6 xG6 shots · 1g
  6. Declan RiceGabriel Martinelli1.6 xG10 shots · 1g
  7. Martin OdegaardBukayo Saka1.4 xG15 shots · 1g
  8. Martin OdegaardKai Havertz1.2 xG8 shots · 0g

The pass immediately before the shot, so a player who starts moves without playing the final ball will not appear here. Roughly seven in ten shots name their creator.

How the season splits

Danger by scoreline

leading, level or behind

Arsenal produce most of their danger with the game level (50% of their xG).

  • Ahead42%
  • Level50%
  • Behind8%
Ahead
42%
32.0 xG · 207 shots
Level
50%
37.7 xG · 290 shots
Behind
8%
5.9 xG · 49 shots

The scoreline at the moment each shot was struck, rebuilt from goal times. Sides that trail often will look busier in attack than they really are.

Home and away

same team, two records

Arsenal travel well. Their home and away numbers are close.

Home · 19 matches
xG2.06
xGA0.98
Shots16.1
Away · 19 matches
xG1.92
xGA1.14
Shots12.7

Shots faced and shots stopped

two different jobs

Arsenal allow 1.06 xG a match, and concede 0.4 fewer goals than the league converts that into.

Chance prevention
1.06

xG allowed per match. Mostly the outfield shape, and it tends to repeat.

Shot stopping
+0.4

Goals prevented against the league rate. Largely the keeper, and it swings year to year.

Expected at league rate36.4
Actually conceded36
Shots faced that were blocked31%

Measured against the league’s own conversion rate rather than raw xG. Blocked and off-target shots carry xG that can never be scored, so comparing goals to raw xG would mark every side in the division as leaky. A high block share means bodies in the way rather than chances denied.