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Aston Villa · 2025/26

Ollie Watkins

npxG per 90
0.58
16 non-penalty goals
xA per 90
0.09
3 assists · 23 key passes
Finishing
-0.6
vs league conversion rate
Build-up per 90
0.13
2908 minutes · 37 games

Ollie Watkins ranks 15th of 398 qualified players for attacking involvement, shooting from 13.8m on average. They carry 22% of Aston Villa’s attacking output, the largest share in the squad.

This week

Next fixture

Gameweek 2

vs Arsenal

Mon 31 Aug, 19:00 UTC

Arsenal concede 8.3 shots a match and are 0.70× the league norm against forwards. A difficult one.

Projected shots
1.75

2.57 per 90 × 0.68

Projected on target
0.67

1.18 per 90 × 0.57

Season rate multiplied by what this opponent concedes relative to the league. It assumes a full ninety minutes and takes no account of rotation, so check availability before reading anything into it.

Shots

37 appearances
  • Over 0.584%± 6
  • Over 1.557%± 8
  • Over 2.543%± 8
  • Over 3.530%± 8

Share of appearances clearing each line, with one standard error. Blank appearances count as misses, 6 of 37 here, so these are lower, and more honest, than rates built only from matches where the player got a shot away.

Shots on target

37 appearances
  • Over 0.557%± 8
  • Over 1.527%± 7
  • Over 2.511%± 5

Share of appearances clearing each line, with one standard error. Blank appearances count as misses, 6 of 37 here, so these are lower, and more honest, than rates built only from matches where the player got a shot away.

Where the shots come from

Where they shoot

83 shots
Opponent goalLeftRight
GoalNo goalMark area is the chance’s expected goals

Ollie Watkins, 2025/26 · 82 shots in the final 35m, 16 scored. Shape carries the outcome rather than colour, so it reads in print and to anyone who cannot separate the hues.

left
15%
Centre
63%
right
21%

share of their shooting xG

Chance quality

xG per shot, distance, how they arrive
xG per shot
0.227
Shots per 90
2.57
Key passes per 90
0.71
Average shot distance
13.8m
From set pieces
16%

How their chances arrive

Crosses
7%
Through balls
25%
Own dribble
7%
Headed
13%

What they are for

Roles

penalties, set pieces, crossing, partnerships
  • When it mattered13 of 16 goals came with the game level or Aston Villa behind.
  • On the pitch85% of the minutes available to them.

Partnerships

  • Feeds Morgan Rogers8 shots, 1.18 xG
  • Fed by Morgan Rogers23 shots, 4.15 xG
  • Fed by Emiliano Buendía8 shots, 2.20 xG
  • Fed by John McGinn10 shots, 2.06 xG

A share of the attack says how much runs through Ollie Watkins. These say what would have to be replaced. Losing the penalty taker or the corner deliverer is not the same as losing a proportional slice of output, and a partnership cuts both ways: the supplier being absent damages the finisher’s numbers too.

Who they play with

Chances received

who supplies them
  1. Morgan Rogers4.1 xG23 shots · 3g
  2. Emiliano Buendía2.2 xG8 shots · 0g
  3. John McGinn2.1 xG10 shots · 1g
  4. Matthew Cash1.0 xG7 shots · 0g
  5. Lucas Digne1.0 xG5 shots · 2g

Chances created

who they supply
  1. Morgan Rogers1.2 xG8 shots · 2g
  2. Evann Guessand0.5 xG2 shots · 0g
  3. Ross Barkley0.3 xG1 shot · 0g
  4. Emiliano Buendía0.3 xG4 shots · 0g
  5. Donyell Malen0.2 xG2 shots · 0g

Season record

Involvement in build-up

excludes their own shots and final passes

Ollie Watkins carries 4.5% of Aston Villa’s build-up value.

  • Build-up per 900.134
    41% of forwards
  • Possession value per 900.673
    79% of forwards

Ranked against 109 forwards with a comparable sample. Build-up is the value of possessions a player was involved in with their own shots and final passes removed, so it credits the work before the chance. It is a possession-value measure rather than a passing one: it cannot tell a forty-yard carry from two sideways balls, because no pass or carry record exists in this data.

Tackles, blocks and recoveries

per 90 · 2025/26

They account for 4.0% of their club’s recorded defensive work.

  • Tackles0.70
    45% of FWD
  • Blocks, clearances, interceptions0.73
    9% of FWD
  • Recoveries1.56
    18% of FWD
  • Defensive contribution2.99
    3% of FWD

Rates from 2,833 minutes, ranked against 33 forwards with a comparable sample. The feed publishes season totals rather than a match-by-match record, so there is no hit rate against a line here. That needs the distribution, which no arithmetic on a total can recover. This statistic begins in 2025/26, so there is no earlier season to compare against.

Match log

most recent first
  • at Manchester City2g
    4 shots2 OT
  • vs Liverpool2g
    6 shots5 OT
  • at Burnley1g
    2 shots1 OT
  • vs Tottenham
    1 shot0 OT
  • at Fulham
    3 shots1 OT
  • vs Sunderland2g
    4 shots2 OT
  • at Nottingham Forest
    1 shot0 OT
  • vs West Ham1g
    5 shots2 OT
  • vs Chelsea
    2 shots2 OT
  • at Wolverhampton Wanderers
    1 shot0 OT

Solid marks are on target, faded ones off. 6 further appearances produced no shot and are not listed, but are counted in the rates above.