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Nottingham Forest · 2023/24

Harry Toffolo

npxG per 90
0.09
1 non-penalty goals
xA per 90
0.09
3 assists · 18 key passes
Finishing
-0.3
vs league conversion rate
Build-up per 90
0.17
1439 minutes · 23 games

Harry Toffolo ranks 200th of 402 qualified players for attacking involvement, shooting from 14.4m on average, with 39% of their danger coming from set pieces. They carry 3% of Nottingham Forest’s attacking output, the 9th largest share in the squad.

This week

Next fixture

Gameweek 2

away to Liverpool

Sat 29 Aug, 11:30 UTC

Liverpool concede 11.0 shots a match and are 0.92× the league norm against defenders. A difficult one.

Projected shots
0.43

0.50 per 90 × 0.86

Projected on target
0.25

0.31 per 90 × 0.81

Season rate multiplied by what this opponent concedes relative to the league. It assumes a full ninety minutes and takes no account of rotation, so check availability before reading anything into it.

Shots

23 appearances
  • Over 0.522%± 9
  • Over 1.59%± 6
  • Over 2.54%± 4
  • Over 3.50%± 0

Share of appearances clearing each line, with one standard error. Blank appearances count as misses, 18 of 23 here, so these are lower, and more honest, than rates built only from matches where the player got a shot away.

Shots on target

23 appearances
  • Over 0.522%± 9
  • Over 1.50%± 0
  • Over 2.50%± 0

Share of appearances clearing each line, with one standard error. Blank appearances count as misses, 18 of 23 here, so these are lower, and more honest, than rates built only from matches where the player got a shot away.

Where the shots come from

Where they shoot

8 shots
0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots25% of shots · 2 shots25% of shots · 2 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots13% of shots · 1 shot0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots13% of shots · 1 shot0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots13% of shots · 1 shot0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots13% of shots · 1 shot0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots25%25%13%13%13%13%Opponent goalLeftRight
Share of shots<1%1–2%2–4%4–6%6%+

Harry Toffolo, 2023/24 · final 35m.

left
9%
Centre
85%
right
6%

share of their shooting xG

Chance quality

xG per shot, distance, how they arrive
xG per shot
0.176
Shots per 90
0.50
Key passes per 90
1.13
Average shot distance
14.4m
From set pieces
39%

How their chances arrive

Crosses
70%
Through balls
0%
Own dribble
0%
Headed
79%

What they are for

Roles

penalties, set pieces, crossing, partnerships
  • Open-play crosses5 crosses from open play became shots, worth 0.59 xG.
  • Corners and set piecesSupplies 7% of Nottingham Forest’s dead-ball danger, from 8 deliveries that became shots.
  • On the pitch42% of the minutes available to them.

Partnerships

  • Feeds Anthony Elanga2 shots, 0.36 xG
  • Feeds Danilo1 shot, 0.25 xG
  • Fed by Neco Williams2 shots, 0.68 xG
  • Fed by Morgan Gibbs-White1 shot, 0.46 xG

A share of the attack says how much runs through Harry Toffolo. These say what would have to be replaced. Losing the penalty taker or the corner deliverer is not the same as losing a proportional slice of output, and a partnership cuts both ways: the supplier being absent damages the finisher’s numbers too.

Who they play with

Chances received

who supplies them
  1. Neco Williams0.7 xG2 shots · 1g
  2. Morgan Gibbs-White0.5 xG1 shot · 0g
  3. Anthony Elanga0.1 xG1 shot · 0g

Chances created

who they supply
  1. Anthony Elanga0.4 xG2 shots · 0g
  2. Danilo0.2 xG1 shot · 0g
  3. Taiwo Awoniyi0.2 xG3 shots · 0g
  4. Chris Wood0.2 xG2 shots · 0g
  5. Morgan Gibbs-White0.1 xG1 shot · 0g

Season record

Involvement in build-up

excludes their own shots and final passes

Harry Toffolo carries 3.0% of Nottingham Forest’s build-up value.

  • Build-up per 900.170
    21% of defenders
  • Possession value per 900.261
    35% of defenders

Ranked against 135 defenders with a comparable sample. Build-up is the value of possessions a player was involved in with their own shots and final passes removed, so it credits the work before the chance. It is a possession-value measure rather than a passing one: it cannot tell a forty-yard carry from two sideways balls, because no pass or carry record exists in this data.

Match log

most recent first
  • vs Tottenham
    3 shots1 OT
  • at Wolverhampton Wanderers1g
    2 shots1 OT
  • vs Brighton
    1 shot1 OT
  • vs Luton
    1 shot1 OT
  • at Crystal Palace
    1 shot1 OT

Solid marks are on target, faded ones off. 18 further appearances produced no shot and are not listed, but are counted in the rates above.